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ForexEF

WTI trims gains after rally to one-year high as traders assess US-Iran conflict

2026-03-04

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil initially surged to a one-year high of .20 before retreating to .32 as traders weighed the geopolitical risks from the US-Iran conflict. The price movement reflects uncertainty over potential disruptions to global oil supplies, with traders balancing concerns about military escalation against broader economic data. The conflict has heightened volatility in energy markets, with oil prices serving as a key barometer for geopolitical tensions. For markets, the fluctuation underscores the sensitivity of commodities to geopolitical events. Traders are monitoring developments closely, as any escalation could further strain oil prices and ripple through global economies. Conversely, a de-escalation might ease pressure on energy markets, though underlying supply-demand fundamentals remain critical. The US-Iran situation adds another layer of complexity to an already volatile commodity landscape. Looking ahead, investors should watch for updates on diplomatic efforts between the US and Iran, as well as OPEC+ production decisions. Economic data, such as US crude inventories and global manufacturing activity, will also influence oil prices. For Gulf investors, the interplay between geopolitical risks and oil prices could impact regional energy stocks and sovereign wealth funds.

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