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UK GDP flat in January as services stall, production contracts

2026-03-13

The UK economy showed no growth in January, with GDP remaining flat at 0.0% month-on-month, below the anticipated 0.2% rise. Services, which constitute the largest economic segment, stagnated, while production contracted. This marks a slowdown from December's 0.3% expansion and raises concerns about the UK's post-pandemic recovery. The mixed sectoral performance highlights vulnerabilities in manufacturing and construction, though some resilience remains in retail and hospitality. For forex markets, the flat GDP data may pressure the British pound (GBP/USD) as investors reassess the BoE's tightening timeline. A weaker GBP could benefit UK exporters but hurt importers. Traders are now focused on upcoming inflation data and February GDP figures to gauge policy direction. The lack of growth also complicates the BoE's inflation-fighting strategy, potentially delaying rate cuts. MENA investors should monitor GBP/USD volatility, as UK economic weakness could impact Gulf trade and investment flows. The data adds to global economic uncertainty, with potential spillovers to oil prices and regional equity markets. Key watchpoints include BoE's March policy decision and UK manufacturing PMI in February.

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