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West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures rose 2.6% to near $98.00 during the European session on Tuesday, driven by escalating concerns over the sustainability of the temporary US-Iran ceasefire announced in April. The price surge reflects heightened geopolitical risks, particularly fears of a prolonged closure of the Hormuz Strait, a critical oil transit chokepoint. Market participants are closely monitoring developments in the Gulf, where tensions between the US and Iran remain volatile.

The surge in oil prices has significant implications for global markets, as any disruption to Hormuz could severely impact global energy supply. Traders are also factoring in the potential for renewed military posturing or sanctions, which could further destabilize the region. The US-Iran standoff has historically caused sharp price swings in crude markets, making this a key risk factor for investors.

Looking ahead, the focus will be on whether the current ceasefire holds or escalates into open conflict. Energy analysts warn that even a partial closure of Hormuz could push oil prices above $100/bbl. Traders are advised to monitor geopolitical updates, OPEC+ production decisions, and US-Iran diplomatic developments for potential market-moving catalysts.