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Gold prices rebounded during the North American mid-session on Thursday as reports emerged of a draft US-Iran deal mediated by Pakistan, potentially easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The development pressured the US dollar and oil prices, with gold (XAU/USD) gaining 0.8% to $2,345 per ounce. The deal, if finalized, could reduce sanctions on Iran’s energy sector, stabilizing oil markets and weakening the dollar. Analysts noted that the dollar’s decline boosted gold’s appeal as an alternative investment. The news also triggered mixed reactions in equity markets, with energy stocks underperforming while safe-haven assets like gold and bonds gained traction.

For traders, the news highlights the interconnectedness of geopolitical developments and financial markets. A successful US-Iran deal could de-escalate regional conflicts, reducing the premium on safe-haven assets like gold. However, uncertainty around the deal’s terms and potential delays may create short-term volatility. The dollar’s performance will be critical to monitor, as its strength or weakness directly impacts gold prices and global trade dynamics.

Looking ahead, investors should watch for official confirmation of the deal and its implications for oil supply chains. The Gulf region, a key energy hub, may see mixed effects—lower oil prices could benefit importers but hurt exporters. Traders are advised to track central bank policies and geopolitical updates for further guidance on asset allocation.