تفاصيل الخبر
ارتفع زوج الدولار الأمريكي مقابل الدولار الكندي (__) من 1.3549 إلى أعلى مستوى له في عام 2026 عند 1.4023 منذ أوائل مايو، مدعومًا بشكل رئيسي من المتوسط المتحرك لـ 200 ساعة. شهدت التصحيحات الأخيرة اختبار مستويات دعم رئيسية قرب المتوسط المتحرك لـ 100 ساعة (1.3955) ومنطقة ارتداد مارس/أبريل (1.3948-1.3966). يراقب المتعاملون هذه المستويات لتحديد استمرارية الاتجاه الصعودي. قد يؤدي كسر هذه المنطقة إلى هدف عند المتوسط المتحرك لـ 200 ساعة (1.3923)، لكن التداولات الحالية عند 1.3973 تشير إلى سيطرة المشترين. تضيف التوترات الجيوسياسية الناتجة عن اتفاقية التجارة بين الولايات المتحدة والمكسيك والكندا (__) ضغطًا إضافيًا على الدولار الكندي. بالنسبة للمستثمرين في الخليج، يُنصح بمراقبة تطورات هذه الاتفاقية وتحركات المتوسطات المتحركة كمؤشرات على استمرارية الاتجاه.
قد يعني استمرار التداولات أعلى من منطقة الدعم (1.3948-1.3966) أن المشترين يسيطرون على الاتجاه الصعودي. يُنصح بمراقبة كسر هذه المنطقة كمفتاح لتقييم التحول في الاتجاه.
The USDCAD pair has surged from 1.3549 to a 2026 high of 1.4023 since early May, maintaining an uptrend supported by the 200-hour moving average. Recent corrections tested key support levels near the 100-hour MA and a March-April swing zone (1.3948-1.3966). Traders are monitoring these levels to gauge the trend's sustainability. A breakdown below 1.3948 could target the 200-hour MA at 1.3923, but current levels near 1.3973 suggest buyers remain dominant. The USMCA trade deal tensions between the U.S. and Canada add geopolitical pressure, potentially favoring USDCAD strength. For markets, this technical setup offers opportunities for trend-following strategies while highlighting geopolitical risks. Traders should watch for MA crossovers and USMCA-related developments.
The USDCAD has been on its own moon mission since early May, rallying from 1.3549 to a new 2026 high of 1.4023 reached yesterday. While there have been periodic pullbacks along the way, the broader uptrend has remained firmly intact. A key reason is that the pair has spent most of the rally above its 200-hour moving average, with only brief dips below the 100-hour moving average. The 200-hour MA has consistently acted as a reliable trend guide, helping to define and sustain the bullish bias.After reaching the 1.4023 high yesterday, the pair corrected lower and tested a confluence of support. Buyers stepped in near the rising 100-hour moving average, currently at 1.3955, while the price also found support within a key swing area from March and April between 1.3948 and 1.3966. That support zone remains the most important near-term barometer. As long as the price holds above it, buyers maintain the technical advantage.If sellers are able to break below that support cluster, the next downside target comes into focus at the rising 200-hour moving average, currently near 1.3923. However, with the pair trading around 1.3973, buyers remain firmly in control. Sellers are making an attempt to slow the advance, but they still have significant work to do before shifting the broader bias. Until those key support levels are broken, the path of least resistance remains to the upside.Of concern going forward is the new trade deal with the US (USMCA). Trump is not a fan of Canada. He thought at one point Canada would be the 51st state. That is not their intention. That dynamic could keep the pressure on the CAD (higher USDCAD). This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.
