تفاصيل الخبر
تراجعت أسعار النفط عن مستويات قياسية بعد ارتفاع حاد مع إشاعات عن مناقشة دول مجموعة G7 ومنظمة أوبك الإجراءات المشتركة لتحرير مخزونات الطوارئ. تراجع خام غرب تكساس الوسيط إلى 102.62 دولار، بينما سجل خام برنت 104.58 دولار. جاء هذا التراجع بعد ارتفاع بنسبة 12% دُفع بتوترات في الشرق الأوسط، بما في ذلك هجوم بصاروخ مُسَيَّر إيراني على مصفاة في البحرين. واصل المؤشرات الأوروبية التراجع تحت ضغوط التوترات الإقليمية، مع هبوط مؤشرات S&P 500 المستقبلية بنسبة 1.2%. قوي الدولار الأمريكي بشكل عام، مع تفوق العملة الكندية على اليورو. أظهرت بيانات إنتاجية الصناعة الألمانية تراجعًا أضعف من المتوقع، مما أثار مخاوف إضافية. تهدف خطة 7/أوبك إلى تهدئة أسعار النفط عبر تحرير مخزونات استراتيجية، مما قد يقلل التقلبات القصيرة المدى. ومع ذلك، فإن فعالية هذه الخطوة لا تزال موضع شك، نظرًا لاستمرار المخاطر الجيوسياسية. يراقب التجار أيضًا قرارات الفيدرالي الأمريكي المحتملة وتأثير ارتفاع عائدات السندات (حتى 4.17%) على الأسواق الأسهم. تراجعت أسعار الذهب والفضة، بينما ارتفع البيتكوين قليلاً، مما يعكس تباين في رغبة المخاطرة. للمستثمرين في الخليج، قد تخفف تصحيح أسعار النفط وتدخلات G7 من الضغوط التضخمية، لكنها قد تضعف أيضًا إيرادات قطاع الطاقة. تشمل النقاط المراقبة الرئيسية مدى تحرير المخزونات، وتقدم تهدئة التوترات في الشرق الأوسط، والبيانات القادمة من الفيدرالي. قد تشهد الأسواق الإقليمية تدفقات مختلطة مع تعديل الأصول المرتبطة بالطاقة على البيئة الجديدة.
Oil prices retreated from record highs as G7 nations and the International Energy Agency (IEA) reportedly discussed coordinated releases of emergency oil reserves to stabilize markets. WTI crude fell to $102.62, down from a peak near $116, while Brent crude eased to $104.58. The move followed a 12% surge driven by Middle East tensions, including an Iranian drone attack on a Bahraini refinery. European indices continued to decline amid regional conflict fears, with S&P 500 futures down 1.2%. The US dollar strengthened broadly, with CAD outperforming EUR. Germany’s industrial data showed weaker-than-expected production and orders, adding to market jitters.
The coordinated G7/IEA plan aims to temper oil prices by releasing strategic reserves, which could reduce short-term volatility. However, the effectiveness of this measure remains uncertain, as geopolitical risks persist. Traders are also monitoring the Fed’s potential rate decisions and the impact of higher Treasury yields (up to 4.17%) on equity markets. Gold and silver declined, while Bitcoin rose slightly, reflecting mixed risk appetite.
For Gulf investors, the oil price correction and G7 intervention could ease inflationary pressures but may also weaken energy sector revenues. Key watchpoints include the scale of reserve releases, progress in Middle East de-escalation, and upcoming Fed statements. Regional markets may see mixed flows as energy-linked assets adjust to the new price environment.
Headlines:G7 members, IEA reportedly to discuss on joint release of emergency oil reservesOil price surge relents as G7 mulls coordination with IEA to release emergency oil reservesOil prices ease after record jump as G7 considers emergency reserve release. Is it enough?Everything that Trump hates is what is happening in marketsJapan reportedly calls on oil storage bases to prepare for release of stockpilesBahrain's major oil refinery also reportedly struck by Iranian drone attackEuropean indices continue to tumble as Middle East conflict weighs furtherEurozone March Sentix investor confidence -3.1 vs -5.0 expectedGermany January industrial orders -11.1% vs -4.5% m/m expectedGermany January industrial production -0.5% vs +1.0% m/m expectedMarkets:WTI crude oil up 12.7% to $102.62, Brent crude oil up 12.4% to $104.58US dollar up across the board but off early highsCAD leads, EUR lags on the dayEuropean stocks sold heavily once again, S&P 500 futures down 1.2%10-year Treasury yields up 4 bps to 4.17%Gold down 1.6% to $1,083, Silver down 1.3% to $83.25Bitcoin up 2.3% to $67,490The main story is in the oil market as prices surged higher once again after the weekend. At one point, crude oil was looking poised for its largest one-day gain ever with WTI crude running hot at around $116 at the tail end of Asia trading.It took a timely "leak" by the G7 ahead of the meeting between finance ministers later today, in saying that they will coordinate with the IEA to release emergency oil reserves to the market. That brought about some instant relief but all it has done is just take oil prices off the boil. The temperature in the room is still raised and relatively hot.WTI crude oil dropped from $116 to $102 but is still seen consolidating around $103 to $106 after. The key threshold to watch is to keep above the $100 mark. That will continue to signal that traders are not convinced by the G7 and IEA narrative, even with the release this time around set to eclipse that seen in 2022.Unless the situation in the Middle East cools, it will be tough to imagine this being nothing but a plaster to plug the hole on the dam. That especially since it will take weeks for the energy disruption to correct itself in the region and also the crude oil supply here will also take weeks before reaching refineries and being made for use. In the meantime, expect prices at the pump to stay higher until the situation changes.In other markets, the dollar is also bid across the board again but off earlier highs. EUR/USD fell to a low of 1.1507 earlier in the day as higher gas prices continue to weigh at the European economy, before recovering to around 1.1560 now - still down 0.5% on the day.Meanwhile, USD/JPY is up 0.4% to 158.45 but the high hit 158.90 earlier as we continue to hover near intervention territory. The loonie is the exception as the currency is booster by higher oil prices with USD/CAD down 0.2% to 1.3537.In the equities space, stocks continue to be hammered lower in Europe but at least it is off opening lows. The losses were over 2% in the opening hour but that is cooling a little on the day at least. Still, it's been a tough six trading days for European indices in wiping out the gains for the year. The DAX is down 1.6% and CAC 40 down 1.9% today currently.Elsewhere, precious metals are also seeing volatile trade still as the push and pull continues. At the balance, gold is keeping lower with price down 1.6% to $5,083 and silver down 1.3% to $83.25 currently. As for the bond market, inflation fears continue to trump safety flows as Treasury yields continue to ramp higher to start the new week. 10-year yields are up another 4 bps to 4.17% currently with the earlier high touching 4.21%.It's all on watching for the G7 finance ministers meeting later at 1230 GMT next. This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.
