تفاصيل الخبر
تراجعت زوج اليورو/الدولار الأمريكي بشكل حاد بعد اختراقه مستوى الدعم الرئيسي المحدد من خلال المتوسط المتحرك لـ 200 يوم والمستوى 38.2% من تصحيح الصعود الذي بدأ في 12 فبراير. تكاملت هذه المستويات بالقرب من 1.16806، مما أدى إلى تراجع السعر إلى أدنى مستوى جلسة عند 1.16159 بعد اختراق نطاق التذبذب بين 1.16377 و1.16464. لم تفلح محاولات الشراء في استعادة مستويات المقاومة الرئيسية مثل 1.1655 و1.16377، مما يعزز التحيز الهابط. للمستثمرين في الخليج، يشير هذا التراجع إلى استمرار هيمنة البائعين على السوق. تظل مستويات المقاومة عند 1.1655 و1.16377 نقاطًا حاسمة يجب مراقبتها. إذا تمكن السعر من البقاء دون هذه المستويات، فقد يستمر التحيز الهابط. من المهم مراقبة المتوسط المتحرك لـ 200 يوم ومستويات فيبوناتشي كأدوات تحليلية لتحديد فرص التداول. التحيز الهابط الحالي يشير إلى أن البائعين سيواصلون الضغط على السعر نحو مستويات أدنى. يجب على المتعاملين مع زوج اليورو/الدولار مراقبة اختراقات الدعم والمقاومة لتحديد الوقت المناسب للدخول أو الخروج من الصفقات. في حال اختراق 1.16159، قد يتجه السعر نحو 1.1580، بينما يُنصح بمراقبة أي علامات على عكس الت.
قد يعني استمرار الهيمنة الهابطة على زوج اليورو/الدولار الأمريكي أن البائعين سيواصلون الضغط على السعر نحو مستويات أدنى. يُنصح المتعاملين بمراقبة مستوى 1.16377 كمقاومة محورية، حيث تراجع السعر عنها عدة مرات. من المحتمل أن يظل التحيز الهابط سارياً طالما بقي السعر دون هذه المستويات.
The EUR/USD pair has experienced a significant decline after breaking below critical technical support levels, including the 200-day moving average and the 38.2% retracement of the rally from the February 12 low. These levels converged near 1.16806, and the failure to hold above this zone allowed sellers to dominate the market. The price subsequently dropped to a session low of 1.16159 after breaching a swing area between 1.16377 and 1.16464. Corrective rebounds have stalled at key resistance levels, such as 1.1655 and 1.16377, reinforcing the bearish momentum. The inability of buyers to reclaim these levels has kept sellers in control, maintaining a strong downside bias.
For traders, the breakdown below 1.16806 and subsequent support zones signals a continuation of the bearish trend. Key resistance levels at 1.1655 and 1.16377 now act as critical barriers for buyers. A sustained move above these levels could shift the balance, but until then, the pair is likely to remain under downward pressure. The 200-day moving average and Fibonacci retracement levels remain pivotal for technical analysis, offering clear entry and exit points for position management.
The ongoing bearish control over EUR/USD has implications for forex traders, particularly those with short positions. The next key target for sellers lies near 1.16159, with a potential test of lower support levels if the trend persists. Traders should monitor the 1.16377-1.16464 zone for any signs of a reversal. A breakdown below 1.16159 could accelerate the decline toward 1.1580, while a successful rebound above 1.1655 might signal a temporary pause in the downtrend.
The EURUSD is trading sharply lower after breaking below a major technical support cluster defined by the 200-day moving average and the 38.2% retracement of the rally from the February 12 low. Both levels converged near 1.16806, creating an important barometer for buyers and sellers. Once the pair moved below that zone — and more importantly stayed below it — sellers gained the momentum needed to press the pair lower through the North American session.The next key downside target came in at a swing area between 1.16377 and 1.16464. After breaking below that support zone, the pair extended lower to a session low of 1.16159. From there, a corrective rebound developed, but the recovery stalled near 1.1655 — a level defined by prior swing lows from April 9 and April 30. The inability to move back above that resistance kept the sellers firmly in control and helped trigger another move back toward the session lows.Buyers did attempt to defend the 1.16159 low, but even that rebound ran into trouble. The latest recovery stalled against the lower end of the broken swing area at 1.16377, turning prior support into new resistance. That price action reinforced the bearish bias and showed sellers continuing to lean against key technical levels on every corrective bounce.So far today, sellers have defended two important resistance points: first at 1.1655 and then again at 1.16377. As long as the price remains below those levels, the downside bias remains firmly in place and buyers still have more work to do to regain control.In the video above, I outline the key trading bias, risk-defining levels, and the next upside and downside targets for the EURUSD. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.
