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EURUSD Technicals: EURUSD stretches to new highs. Price is above the November lows now.
The EUR/USD pair has rebounded sharply from last week’s selloff, surpassing key November 2025 support levels at 1.1491 and 1.1468. After hitting a low of 1.14102 on Friday, buyers intervened to push the price back above...
Riksbank: War risk keeps policy on hold – Nordea
Nordea economists Kjetil Olsen and Sara Midtgaard have revised their outlook for the Riksbank, Sweden’s central bank, predicting the policy rate will remain unchanged at 1.75% during the March 19 meeting and throughout 2...
GBP: Hawkish BoE repricing underpins Pound – MUFG
MUFG analysts note a significant shift in UK interest rate expectations, with markets now pricing in potential rate hikes instead of cuts due to rising inflation risks from energy shocks. This reversal has bolstered the...
AUD/USD rises on RBA hike expectations, strong China data
The AUD/USD pair climbed 1.16% on Monday, reaching 0.7060, driven by renewed optimism in the Australian Dollar (AUD) and expectations of further monetary tightening by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). The rebound fol...
EUR/GBP steady as traders await ECB and BoE decisions amid inflation concerns
The EUR/GBP pair remains in a tight range as traders adopt a cautious stance ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy decisions scheduled for this week. The pair initially gained...
Canada: Core inflation easing but supply risks persist – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) Senior Economist Claire Fan reported that Canadian headline inflation eased to 1.8% in February 2024, driven by base effects from last year’s GST/HST tax holiday and the removal of the consumer...
Energy: Base case shifts to higher prices – ING
ING's Warren Patterson has revised its base case for global energy markets, shifting from an initial assumption of a short-term two-week disruption in the Strait of Hormuz to a longer-term outlook. The bank now anticipat...
RBA Preview: Why a 25bps hike to 4.1% is the most likely outcome
Markets are currently pricing in a 68% probability that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.1% at its upcoming meeting. This decision aims to move monetary policy beyond t...
Sunset Market Commentary
Global markets remain in a cautious wait-and-see mode as bond yields decline slightly and the US dollar retreats from recent peaks. Equities have stabilized after a two-week energy sector-driven repositioning, but uncert...
AUDUSD Technicals: The AUDUSD is benefitting from risk-on sentiment
The AUDUSD pair has gained momentum amid renewed global risk-on sentiment, driven by rising U.S. equities and falling bond yields. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ climbed over 1% and 1.5% respectively, while the 10-year U.S. Trea...
Prediction Markets Are Turning Into a Bot Playground
Prediction markets, initially designed for crowdsourced forecasting, are increasingly dominated by automated trading systems. Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi show that 14 of the top 20 most profitable wallets are bo...
Norges Bank: Inflation shock drives June hike – Nordea
Nordea economists Kjetil Olsen and Sara Midtgaard predict that Norges Bank will raise interest rates in June due to surging inflation and energy price shocks. Norway’s annual inflation hit 7.2% in April, driven by energy...
EUR/CHF: Safe-haven test around 0.90 – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley highlights that the Swiss Franc (CHF) has failed to act as a traditional safe-haven currency amid the ongoing Middle East conflict, despite typically being viewed as a refuge du...
Euro area: Industrial recovery delayed by sector shocks – Societe Generale
Societe Generale economists reported a sharp decline in Eurozone industrial production in January 2024, contradicting earlier signs of recovery suggested by improving PMI data and rising German manufacturing orders. The...
USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook
The USD/CHF pair is currently trading with a neutral intraday bias after forming a temporary top at 0.7921. Key technical levels include support at 0.7746 and resistance at 0.7939, with daily pivots at 0.7866 (S1), 0.789...
EUR/USD Price Forecast: US Dollar less attractive on risk aversion shock
The EUR/USD pair has shown resilience in early trading, reversing most of its losses from the previous week amid escalating geopolitical tensions in Iran. Despite the risk-off sentiment triggered by the conflict, the pai...
GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook
The GBP/USD pair is showing a neutral intraday bias amid consolidation following a recovery. Key technical levels include support at 1.3216 and resistance at 1.3482. If the 1.3482 resistance holds, the risk of a downward...
EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook
The EUR/USD pair is showing a neutral intraday bias as it consolidates after a recent recovery. Key technical levels include daily pivots at 1.1373 (S1), 1.1452 (Pivot), and 1.1494 (R1). Traders are monitoring the 1.1666...
Canada’s Inflation Pressures Cooled Further in February
Canada's headline CPI inflation eased to 1.8% year-on-year in February, slightly below market forecasts. The temporary suspension of the GST/HST tax in February 2025 caused significant price surges during that period but...
USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook
The USD/JPY pair is currently trading with a neutral intraday bias following a recent pullback. Key technical levels include daily pivots at 159.23 (S1), 159.49 (P), and 160.00 (R1). A move above 159.74 could target a re...