آخر الأخبار والتحليلات
تغطية شاملة لأسواق الفوركس، السلع، العملات الرقمية، والاقتصاد العالمي
Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q1 estimate 2.1% versus 3.2% previously
The Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow model has revised its Q1 2026 real GDP growth estimate downward to 2.1% from 3.2%, reflecting weaker performance in key economic indicators. Recent data from the US Census Bureau, Bur...
Iran war threatens ECB’s ’good place,’ Schnabel warns
The European Central Bank (ECB) faces potential risks from escalating geopolitical tensions in the Iran region, according to ECB Executive Board member Joachim Nagel. In a recent statement, Nagel warned that a military c...
Isabel Schnabel: Navigating inflation and employment in an era of supply shocks and AI
Isabel Schnabel, Executive Board Member of the European Central Bank (ECB), has emphasized the challenges of balancing inflation control and employment stability amid global supply shocks and the transformative impact of...
NZD/USD declines as US Dollar rises on risk aversion, RBNZ policy
The NZD/USD pair has fallen to 0.5870, a 0.54% decline, as the US Dollar gains strength amid rising geopolitical tensions and investor caution ahead of the upcoming US labor market report. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is...
US business inventories for December 0.1% versus 0.1% expected
The U.S. business and retail inventories report for December showed mixed results, with business inventories rising 0.1% as expected, while the prior month’s data was revised downward to 0.0% from 0.1%. Retail inventorie...
Crypto Biz: Kraken plugs into the Fed
Kraken, a major cryptocurrency exchange, has secured access to the Federal Reserve's payment systems, marking a significant step toward mainstream adoption of crypto assets. Meanwhile, Marathon Digital (MARA) outlined pl...
AUD/USD advances on US employment contraction, RBA rate hike outlook
The AUD/USD pair climbed to 0.7020 on Friday, reflecting a 0.11% daily gain, driven by a weaker-than-anticipated US nonfarm payrolls report. The unexpected contraction in US employment data has weakened the dollar, while...
Asia FX: War risks and policy divergence shape outlook – MUFG
MUFG analysts highlight that geopolitical tensions, particularly the US-Israel-Iran conflict and related energy disruptions, will remain a key driver for Asian foreign exchange markets. They also emphasize the growing im...
Blend of private and official data would better guide the Fed, research shows
A recent study highlights that combining private-sector data with official statistics enhances the Federal Reserve's ability to make informed monetary policy decisions. Researchers argue that real-time data from private...
Weekly Focus – Modest Reaction to Large Conflict
The recent escalation of conflict between Israel, the US, and Iran has seen limited market reaction despite significant geopolitical tensions. Air strikes by Israel and the US against Iran were met with Iranian missile a...
Non-Farm Payrolls Large Miss and Oil Explodes Higher to $90 – A Stagflation Cocktail Ahead of Weekend Risk
The US Non-Farm Payrolls report for March 2024 significantly missed expectations, with employment gains coming in at 85,000 versus forecasts of 238,000. This sharp miss, combined with escalating Middle East tensions driv...
Crude oil futures stretch toward $90 a barrel
Crude oil prices surged over 9% in a single trading day, reaching $88.74 per barrel as of the latest data. This follows a 32% weekly gain, marking the largest weekly increase since 2020. The price has surpassed the April...
GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Pound Sterling appears vulnerable amid widening Middle East crisis
The British Pound (GBP) reached a three-month low against the US Dollar (USD) near 1.3250 this week, recovering slightly afterward but closing the week with significant losses. The decline was driven by escalating tensio...
EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: War! Inflation to soar, central banks to change course
The EUR/USD pair closed the week near 1.1600, marking its largest weekly decline in over a year. Markets reacted sharply to geopolitical tensions after U.S. President Donald Trump aligned with Israel and launched a major...
Fed: Wait-and-see stance after weak jobs – Commerzbank
US employment data for February showed a significant decline, with 92,000 jobs lost, far below economists' expectations. Commerzbank's Dr. Christoph Balz highlighted downward revisions to previous months' data and attrib...
GBP/USD trades flat despite soft US jobs data
The GBP/USD pair remains range-bound despite weaker-than-expected US nonfarm payrolls data, which typically signals potential Federal Reserve rate cut speculation. The pair briefly spiked after the data but failed to sus...
USD: Fed cuts repriced on higher inflation – ING
ING's James Knightley highlights that market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026 have diminished due to higher-than-anticipated US inflation and robust economic growth. Recent data showing persistent infla...
USD/JPY poised to test 158.00 despite weak US jobs data
The USD/JPY pair climbed over 0.20% on Friday, approaching the critical 158.00 level following the release of weaker-than-expected US nonfarm payrolls data. Despite the labor market slowdown, the US Dollar remained resil...
Week Ahead – US Inflation Data to Offer Distraction Amid Iran War Fallout
The upcoming week will see the release of key U.S. inflation data, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, which are critical for assessing the Federal Reserve's monet...
Oil Shock Drowns Out Weak NFP, Risk Aversion Supports Dollar
The recent surge in oil prices has overshadowed the weak U.S. non-farm payroll (NFP) data, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude breaking above $85 and continuing to rise. Despite the disappointing NFP report, which t...