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Donald Trump stated that the conflict with Iran will end when he feels it 'in my bones,' signaling uncertainty about the timeline. While he hinted the war may not last long, the Pentagon's deployment of a marine expeditionary unit to the Middle East has raised fears of a potential ground war. Market reactions have been mixed, with WTI crude oil falling to $95.12 after a sharp drop to $92.04 earlier, and the S&P 500 reversing gains to decline by 10 points. The lack of concrete policy direction and geopolitical risks are creating volatility. The situation highlights the sensitivity of global markets to U.S.-Iran tensions, particularly for energy prices and equity indices. A prolonged conflict could disrupt oil supplies, pushing prices higher, while a sudden escalation might trigger risk-off sentiment. Traders are closely monitoring military movements and diplomatic developments for clarity. For investors, the key risks lie in oil price swings and equity market corrections. Gulf investors, heavily exposed to energy markets, should prepare for increased volatility. Watch for updates on military deployments, OPEC+ policy shifts, and any diplomatic breakthroughs to gauge market direction.
