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The USDCAD pair has surged from 1.3549 to a 2026 high of 1.4023 since early May, maintaining an uptrend supported by the 200-hour moving average. Recent corrections tested key support levels near the 100-hour MA and a March-April swing zone (1.3948-1.3966). Traders are monitoring these levels to gauge the trend's sustainability. A breakdown below 1.3948 could target the 200-hour MA at 1.3923, but current levels near 1.3973 suggest buyers remain dominant. The USMCA trade deal tensions between the U.S. and Canada add geopolitical pressure, potentially favoring USDCAD strength. For markets, this technical setup offers opportunities for trend-following strategies while highlighting geopolitical risks. Traders should watch for MA crossovers and USMCA-related developments.