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Silver prices fell sharply on April 21, 2026, dropping 3.8% to $76.55 per ounce, marking the largest single-day decline in a month. The selloff was driven by three key factors: a stronger U.S. Dollar Index (98.47), rising Brent crude prices near $95, and uncertainty over the U.S.-Iran ceasefire expiration. The white metal now trades 37% below its January 29 all-time high of $121.64 and 15% below pre-Iran war levels. Analysts attribute the decline to geopolitical risks, hawkish Federal Reserve signals, and inflationary pressures from elevated oil prices.

The market implications are significant for traders. A stronger dollar and higher Treasury yields directly pressure non-yielding assets like silver. The Fed's potential hawkish stance under nominee Kevin Warsh, combined with unresolved U.S.-Iran tensions, has created a risk-off environment. Investors are closely monitoring Warsh's Senate hearing and the ceasefire deadline for clues on future monetary policy and geopolitical stability.

Looking ahead, the convergence of these factors suggests continued downward pressure on silver. Traders should watch the Dollar Index, oil prices, and Warsh's testimony for potential catalysts. If the ceasefire collapses or the Fed adopts a more aggressive stance, silver could test critical support levels. Technical indicators and geopolitical developments will remain pivotal for short-term price action.