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The S&P 500 index managed to break a four-day losing streak, snapping back to post gains despite an unsupportive macroeconomic environment. Market sentiment has been challenged by accelerating core inflation figures, which have pushed US Treasury bond yields higher and raised expectations for further Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Although higher interest rates typically pressure equities, stock markets paradoxically found some support under the changing rate outlook.
However, underlying market participation paints a more cautious picture. Capital outflows from major exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracking the S&P 500 suggest that institutional and retail investors may be losing enthusiasm for broad equity exposure. The divergence between rising stock prices and persistent ETF capital outflows highlights growing skepticism about the sustainability of the current stock market rebound.
Looking ahead, traders should monitor incoming US inflation data and Federal Reserve policy commentary closely. If bond yields continue to climb alongside sticky inflation, equity valuations could face renewed selling pressure, making equity market rallies vulnerable to sharp sentiment shifts.