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Gold has demonstrated remarkable resilience by defending its key support level around 4,230.70 despite a sharp surge in U.S. Treasury yields to multi-decade highs. However, analysts point out that absorbing a temporary yield spike is significantly different from sustaining demand under a prolonged environment where 10-year Treasury yields remain elevated above 5%.
The relationship between non-yielding bullion and Treasury yields is traditionally inverse, as higher risk-free yields increase the opportunity cost of holding physical gold. While persistent geopolitical risks and central bank purchases have provided a solid floor for bullion, a sustained period of high interest rates and strong bond yields presents a persistent headwind for aggressive upside momentum.
Traders and market participants are closely watching key technical parameters and upcoming macroeconomic indicators to determine whether the current support zone will hold. If U.S. yields remain entrenched above 5%, gold's ability to maintain its elevated market valuation will be rigorously tested, potentially triggering a broader repricing across precious metals markets.