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Gold prices have declined for the third consecutive day amid growing concerns that rising oil prices could fuel inflation and push the Federal Reserve toward a more hawkish monetary policy stance. The yellow metal has retreated below key technical levels, including the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of its $4099/$4889 recovery phase, signaling increased bearish momentum. Analysts highlight that the Fed’s upcoming FOMC decision and Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks will be critical in determining gold’s near-term direction, as tighter monetary policy typically weakens gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge.
For traders, the current bearish pressure on gold reflects the market’s sensitivity to inflation expectations and central bank policy. A hawkish Fed could strengthen the U.S. dollar, further pressuring gold prices. Conversely, any dovish signals or delays in rate hikes might provide a short-term bounce. The situation underscores the importance of monitoring central bank communications and inflation data for directional cues.
Looking ahead, investors should focus on the FOMC meeting on [date] and Powell’s post-meeting press conference. Key support levels to watch include the $4500 psychological threshold and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at $4620. A breakdown below these levels could open the door for a deeper correction toward $4300. Traders may also consider hedging strategies if volatility persists around the Fed’s policy decisions.