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The US Dollar Index (DXY) climbed to 99.20 on Monday following stronger-than-expected US manufacturing data, which signaled resilience in the US economy. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported a manufacturing PMI of 56.7 in July, exceeding forecasts of 55.5 and indicating continued expansion in the sector. Meanwhile, heightened geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran added to the dollar's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Traders are closely monitoring whether the Federal Reserve will adjust its dovish stance amid improving economic fundamentals.
The dollar's strength against major currencies like the euro and yen has implications for global markets. A stronger DXY often pressures emerging market currencies and commodities priced in USD, such as gold and oil. Investors are also assessing how prolonged US-Iran tensions might disrupt trade routes and energy markets, potentially affecting inflation and central bank policies. The focus now shifts to upcoming Fed statements and the August manufacturing data for further clues on the dollar's trajectory.
For MENA investors, the dollar's gains could impact Gulf equity markets, where USD-denominated debt and oil prices play a critical role. The region's energy exporters may benefit from a weaker euro and yen, but import-dependent economies could face higher costs. Traders should watch for shifts in Fed rhetoric, oil price volatility, and any diplomatic developments between the US and Iran that might influence market sentiment.