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The AUD/USD pair surged to a new high against the backdrop of the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) third consecutive rate hike in 2025, reversing earlier rate cuts. The 25-basis-point increase aimed to combat persistent inflation, pushing the currency pair above key technical levels like the 100-hour and 200-hour moving averages. Price action showed a bullish breakout through critical resistance zones between 0.7221-0.7227 and 0.7265-0.7288, with buyers defending support levels during a subsequent pullback. The pair's ability to hold above 0.7221 remains pivotal for maintaining bullish momentum.
For traders, the AUD/USD's technical setup highlights critical support/resistance clusters that could dictate short-term volatility. A sustained break above 0.7265-0.7288 (a 2022 high) could signal renewed bullish bias, while a drop below 0.7221 might trigger a deeper correction toward 0.7196. The RBA's monetary policy stance and inflation data will also influence broader market sentiment, making this pair a focal point for forex traders.
Looking ahead, the 0.7221-0.7227 zone will act as a key psychological barrier. If buyers reassert control, the pair could test the 2022 resistance area. Conversely, a breakdown below this level would shift the balance toward sellers. Traders should monitor the RBA's communication and global risk appetite for directional clues.